Global environment:
Politics:
US:Internally the fight between GOP and Democrats intensified with Democrats try to set barries for Trump to enter ballout. The internal political fight may affect fiscal and monetary policies in the way of boosting economy while Biden in position. So we expect postive fiscal policy and monetary policy which would keep US economy on growth for 2024 and 2025. Internationally, US tried to regain its influence in Asia and Middle East. So it supported Ukraine to fight with Russia and supported Israel to fight against Hamas. However, its top enemy is still China. However, China is not as powerful as people expected. So US would review its tactic against China due to define the necessary steps.
China: internationally, China is enlarging its growing space by building a strong tie with Russia, EU and Middle East. Russia need China as international political allies. EU needs China as strategic trading partners. Middle East needs China as international political allies. All these countries have their own purpose.
Big events:
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